Forecast future outcomes. Reflect on past experience. Co-evolve research capabilities.
Mengdi Liu1,2, Chenghao Jia1,2, Hong Chang1,2, Mingjie He1,2, Shiguang Shan1,2, Xilin Chen1,2
1 State Key Laboratory of AI Safety, Institute of Computing Technology, CAS, China
2 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), China
Long-horizon autonomous research is constrained by expanding search spaces and costly, delayed feedback. In a conventional Generate–Execute–Feedback loop, each new hypothesis may require hours of training, simulation, or compilation before its value becomes clear. Reactive trial-and-error makes it difficult to allocate research compute effectively as the search frontier grows.
JANUS unifies future outcome forecasting and past experience reflection through a Predict–Verify–Evolve loop. An orchestrator expands an evolving research graph, while a world model forecasts the value of candidate proposals and selects, refines, or prunes them before execution. Ground-truth feedback then improves the skills of the research agent, the world model, and their coordination protocol.
The goal is to improve both evolving efficiency and the attainable evolving ceiling: make faster progress with a given research budget, and sustain improvement as additional compute becomes available.
- An evolving research graph. A directed acyclic graph records proposals, implementations, predictions, and execution evidence, supporting branch exploration, experience reuse, and performance attribution.
- World-model-guided exploration. Proposals are assessed by value improvement, information gain, and exploration utility. Sparse pairwise comparisons and adaptive priorities guide refinement, selection, and pruning before costly execution.
- Experience-driven co-evolution. Successful and failed trajectories become intra-task and cross-task research skills. The world model refines prediction and exploration skills, while a shared protocol improves when and how the agents coordinate.
- Evaluation across research settings. The paper evaluates JANUS on 30 MLS-Bench-Lite tasks across 12 domains, plus nanoGPT training optimization, MinGPT attention kernel optimization, and genotype-to-phenotype prediction.
- Expand. The orchestrator modifies, extends, or combines existing research nodes to propose new candidates.
- Predict. The world model scores candidates, refines proposals through selective debate, and prioritizes experiments under the remaining budget.
- Verify. The code executor implements the selected proposal, runs the experiment, and records its outcome in the research graph.
- Evolve. Verified experience updates research skills, world-model judgment, exploration strategies, and coordination protocols for subsequent iterations.
The following results are reported in Table 1 of the paper on MLS-Bench-Lite. Each task uses a 5-hour wall-clock research budget and one NVIDIA A100 GPU, under the evaluation protocol described in the paper. Higher is better for all metrics below.
| Method | Model | Valid Sub. | Beat Any | Beat Median | Beat All | Dev Score | Test Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AutoResearch | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 83.3% | 76.7% | 40.0% | 16.7% | 26.24 | 25.87 |
| AutoResearch | DeepSeek-V4 Pro | 90.0% | 83.3% | 46.7% | 16.7% | 27.01 | 27.13 |
| AIDE | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 93.3% | 90.0% | 53.3% | 23.3% | 31.12 | 31.11 |
| MLEvolve | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 96.7% | 93.3% | 56.7% | 30.0% | 33.89 | 32.99 |
| AIBuildAI | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 90.0% | 86.7% | 60.0% | 33.3% | 34.95 | 35.14 |
| Arbor | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 100.0% | 96.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 38.01 | 37.34 |
| Codex | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 96.7% | 96.7% | 73.3% | 36.7% | 39.38 | 38.91 |
| Codex | GPT-5.6 Sol | 100.0% | 100.0% | 86.7% | 53.3% | 45.23 | 44.81 |
| JANUS | DeepSeek-V4 Flash | 100.0% | 100.0% | 76.7% | 43.3% | 41.99 | 41.07 |
| JANUS | GPT-5.6 Sol | 100.0% | 100.0% | 90.0% | 56.7% | 47.32 | 46.88 |
| JANUS | Codex (GPT-5.6 Sol) | 100.0% | 100.0% | 93.3% | 63.3% | 49.96 | 49.78 |
Valid Sub. measures valid submissions. Beat Any / Median / All measure the fraction of tasks outperforming at least one, the median-performing, or all provided human baselines. Dev / Test Score are mean normalized task scores. See the paper for full definitions, scaling analyses, ablations, and real-world research results.
JANUS achieves the strongest final performance across three real-world research tasks among the compared methods. As the number of experiments increases, it reaches lower validation bits per byte on nanoGPT training optimization, higher speedup on MinGPT attention kernel optimization, and higher macro-averaged Pearson correlation on genotype-to-phenotype prediction. These trajectories show how JANUS turns successive experiments into sustained improvements across model training, systems optimization, and scientific prediction. Lower is better for validation bits per byte; higher is better for speedup and Pearson correlation.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Paper (PDF) | ✅ Available |
| Project page & interactive demo | 🔜 In progress |
| arXiv posting | 🔜 In progress |
| Full codebase | ⏳ Being prepared |
| Reproduction scripts | ⏳ Being prepared |
@article{liu2026janus0,
title = {JANUS: Enhancing Long-Horizon Autonomous Research with Co-Evolving World Models},
author = {Mengdi Liu and Chenghao Jia and Hong Chang and Mingjie He and Shiguang Shan and Xilin Chen},
year = {2026},
journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv: 2610.13194}
}

